Betting Lines
| Spread | PENN -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
| Money | PENN -550 LAF +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PENN +2 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | PENN -16.5 (-14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (+7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PENN -12.3 (-10.3) | 136.4 (+9.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | PENN -12.9 (-10.9) | 136.6 (+9.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | PENN -11.6 (-9.6) | 139.4 (+6.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PENN -12.1 (-10.1) | 138.2 (+7.8) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2025 | PENN 74 – 72 LAF |
| Nov 13, 2024 | LAF 65 – 63 PENN |
| Nov 23, 2022 | PENN 74 – 68 LAF |
| Nov 17, 2021 | PENN 85 – 57 LAF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PENN | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-6 | 5-10 |
| Away | 2-10 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 62.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#141) | -7.7 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#206) | -2.45 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#210) | -4.59 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#199) | 0.285 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PENN | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 35.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 43.8 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 14.2 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 41.6% |
| TOV% | 23.4% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 39.3% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.