Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | LAM -125 BCU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +18 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | LAM -6.6 (+11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -4.2 (+13.8) | 144.2 (+3.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -4.1 (+13.9) | 145.7 (+2.3) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -4.4 (+13.6) | 148.5 (-0.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -3.9 (+14.1) | 148.1 (-0.1) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-3 | 11-2 |
| Away | 5-11 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 3-0 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#208) | -8.5 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#258) | -1.07 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#241) | -1.80 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.409 (#284) | 0.442 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 25.0% |
| REB / G | 41.3 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 19.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 43.5% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 45.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 58.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 24.7% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.4% | 41.7% |
Game Analysis
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