Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | RICE +350 UCI -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +15 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -18.4 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (+0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -13.0 (-2.0) | 148.0 (+3.0) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -13.4 (-1.6) | 147.7 (+3.3) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -14.6 (-0.4) | 147.7 (+3.3) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -15.5 (+0.5) | 149.0 (+2.0) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 17-3 |
| Home | 6-10 | 13-0 |
| Away | 5-7 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 68.8 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#325) | 8.7 (#43) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.90 (#315) | 2.33 (#35) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.85 (#308) | 3.10 (#42) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#205) | 0.641 (#37) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 60.8% | 44.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.