Betting Lines
| Spread | FAIR -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | FAIR -120 UNH +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAIR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNH +3 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | UNH -1.2 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (+12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -1.5 (-1.5) | 149.8 (+13.2) | 40% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | UNH -1.8 (-1.2) | 147.6 (+15.4) | 40% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | UNH -1.3 (-1.7) | 144.5 (+18.5) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -1.8 (-1.2) | 144.8 (+18.2) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2025 | FAIR 72 – 68 UNH |
| Nov 13, 2024 | FAIR 62 – 56 UNH |
| Nov 11, 2022 | UNH 83 – 71 FAIR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAIR | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 7-9 |
| Home | 10-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 10-6 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-4 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#306) | 0.7 (#154) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.08 (#316) | 0.46 (#148) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.98 (#311) | 0.72 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.363 (#318) | 0.511 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAIR | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.6% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 27.6% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.7% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 64.7% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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