Betting Lines
| Spread | FAIR -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | FAIR -600 UNH +440 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAIR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAIR +4 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | FAIR -16.3 (-12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (-3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAIR -13.5 (-9.5) | 138.6 (+1.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | FAIR -11.8 (-7.8) | 138.0 (+2.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | FAIR -11.3 (-7.3) | 136.7 (+3.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAIR -13.8 (-9.8) | 138.4 (+1.6) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2024 | FAIR 62 – 56 UNH |
| Nov 25, 2023 | UNH 83 – 80 FAIR |
| Nov 11, 2022 | UNH 83 – 71 FAIR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAIR | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 5-11 |
| Home | 12-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 76.4 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#227) | -14.2 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#103) | -3.55 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#115) | -5.72 (#358) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#121) | 0.411 (#312) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAIR | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 34.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 26.2% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 40.4% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 11.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 32.4% |
Game Analysis
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