Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -22.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | CLEM -20000 ALCN +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +21 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -20.8 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -18.4 (+2.6) | 148.3 (+10.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -16.3 (+4.7) | 149.4 (+9.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -18.1 (+2.9) | 149.9 (+9.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -18.9 (+2.1) | 149.4 (+9.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 12-4 | 7-3 |
| Away | 6-6 | 7-14 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 77.9 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#80) | -7.4 (#305) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.69 (#23) | -2.18 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.49 (#36) | -3.64 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.692 (#13) | 0.339 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 40.2% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.64 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 59.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 31.6% |
Game Analysis
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