Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -12.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | SBU -900 M-OH +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +30 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | SBU -4.8 (+25.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (+11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -7.2 (+22.8) | 133.7 (+16.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -4.5 (+25.5) | 137.3 (+12.7) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -4.1 (+25.9) | 136.2 (+13.8) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -6.1 (+23.9) | 133.9 (+16.1) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SBU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-4 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#266) | -2.7 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#182) | -2.41 (#332) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#179) | -4.17 (#343) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#145) | 0.385 (#306) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SBU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 27.9% | 40.5% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 5.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 20.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 33.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.