Betting Lines
| Spread | UTM -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | CHST +150 UTM -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTM +23 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | CHST -1.2 (-24.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.8 (+8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -1.9 (-21.1) | 152.0 (+13.0) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CHST -0.7 (-23.7) | 149.8 (+15.2) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CHST -1.0 (-24.0) | 150.5 (+14.5) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CHST -0.7 (-23.7) | 153.4 (+11.6) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2022 | UTM 75 – 74 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHST | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 0-0 | 14-4 |
| Home | 6-5 | 12-2 |
| Away | 5-12 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 77.9 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#318) | -3.0 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.26 (#328) | 0.52 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.12 (#340) | 0.36 (#162) |
| RPI | 0.310 (#349) | 0.538 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHST | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 26.2% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 45.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.59 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 12.9% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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