Betting Lines
| Spread | UTM -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | UTM -275 CHST +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTM +1 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | UTM -6.9 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.4 (-9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -4.1 (-3.1) | 152.8 (-3.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -5.0 (-4.0) | 153.7 (-4.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -4.8 (-3.8) | 154.0 (-5.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -4.5 (-3.5) | 152.5 (-3.5) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2023 | UTM 94 – 71 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 0-0 |
| Home | 14-2 | 8-0 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-20 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#259) | -6.3 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#290) | -0.72 (#249) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.23 (#307) | -1.06 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.416 (#302) | 0.433 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 63.1% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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