See my tailor, he's called Simon, I know it's going to fit. "Sex & Drugs & Rock & Roll" - Ian Dury
← All models

Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
64–27 on winners spread MAE 10.2 91 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Jackson State @ Kentucky +25.7 157.8 91% 59–108 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Florida +14.3 147.5 87% 68–93 ✓
Virginia @ St. John's +9.4 131.3 83% 55–80 ✓
Syracuse @ Texas Tech +11.6 154.8 86% 74–79 ✓
William & Mary @ NC State +10.5 156.3 82% 61–84 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Georgia State +3.3 142.4 60% 79–93 ✓
Army @ Manhattan +3.7 146.4 64% 79–80 ✓
VMI @ Davidson +9.7 147.7 82% 66–93 ✓
Colgate @ Harvard +3.8 134.2 63% 67–78 ✓
Chicago State @ Indiana State +13.4 147.8 87% 61–97 ✓
Morgan State @ Buffalo +4.2 154.7 65% 73–82 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ East Tennessee State +10.1 154.8 81% 76–87 ✓
Drexel @ Fordham +4.2 136.6 65% 73–71 ✗
Merrimack @ Butler +11.3 129.3 82% 39–78 ✓
Winthrop @ Louisville +16.9 146.1 88% 61–76 ✓
Texas State @ Princeton +0.3 138.8 56% 83–80 ✗
VCU @ Nevada +3.4 137.7 70% 61–64 ✓
UL Monroe @ Northwestern State +10.9 139.2 84% 65–63 ✗
New Orleans @ Tulane +18.9 143.0 90% 93–87 ✗
UNC Asheville @ Southeast Missouri State -0.6 147.2 43% 72–64 ✓
Elon @ Notre Dame +5.8 146.4 72% 84–77 ✗
Pacific @ Missouri +21.4 148.5 90% 56–91 ✓
Hofstra @ Houston +21.4 134.7 90% 44–80 ✓
Nebraska @ Creighton +9.9 142.0 78% 74–63 ✗
South Dakota @ Southern Indiana +2.6 154.3 55% 83–92 ✓
Utah Valley @ Murray State +9.2 145.4 80% 77–75 ✗
Green Bay @ Evansville -3.6 147.6 34% 81–98 ✗
South Carolina State @ Alabama A&M -0.4 139.7 41% 82–70 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Northern Arizona +5.8 141.4 73% 74–75 ✓
Rice @ Houston Christian -3.7 134.1 33% 61–58 ✓
Portland State @ Milwaukee -0.0 157.6 49% 74–91 ✗
Pepperdine @ Northwestern +16.5 140.1 88% 50–68 ✓
Utah State @ Iowa +0.2 154.9 52% 77–69 ✗
George Washington @ Kansas State -1.9 144.4 40% 71–83 ✗
Omaha @ Alabama State -0.9 146.3 49% 67–85 ✗
SE Louisiana @ Wyoming +3.1 140.2 62% 61–64 ✓
Mississippi State @ SMU +2.3 155.9 52% 84–79 ✗
Little Rock @ Arkansas +10.6 134.6 82% 67–79 ✓
Norfolk State @ Grand Canyon -0.8 144.0 43% 73–91 ✗
UC Riverside @ Colorado State +10.1 146.2 83% 77–75 ✗
UC Irvine @ Weber State -8.1 136.4 20% 93–87 ✓
Tennessee @ Baylor -3.9 148.6 42% 77–62 ✓
Texas @ Saint Joseph's -5.1 142.3 31% 67–58 ✓
Southern Utah @ San Diego +0.2 142.0 44% 72–67 ✗
North Dakota @ Loyola Marymount +3.2 132.8 60% 77–73 ✗
Alcorn State @ Washington +16.7 132.7 90% 60–77 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UCLA +24.4 133.1 91% 47–80 ✓
Duke @ Arizona -1.9 146.9 37% 69–55 ✓
Wichita State @ Saint Louis -5.0 148.7 33% 88–63 ✓
North Carolina @ Hawai'i -6.0 158.4 30% 87–69 ✓
Georgia @ Marquette +6.0 144.5 76% 69–80 ✓
La Salle @ Stetson -8.2 143.4 23% 92–77 ✓
Florida International @ Cal State Bakersfield +1.3 138.6 56% 76–73 ✗
Marshall @ Purdue +12.6 145.8 85% 45–80 ✓
Presbyterian @ Monmouth -6.8 138.9 24% 71–61 ✓
Delaware @ Vermont -0.3 132.0 53% 71–75 ✗
West Georgia @ Georgia Southern +12.6 149.7 87% 54–64 ✓
Boston University @ UMBC +1.4 137.7 49% 75–71 ✗
Saint Francis @ Georgetown +9.2 139.5 78% 65–82 ✓
Long Island University @ Charlotte +10.5 142.6 83% 79–76 ✗
East Carolina @ UIC +2.7 151.6 70% 72–55 ✗
Northeastern @ Florida Gulf Coast +3.8 132.5 61% 59–55 ✗
Quinnipiac @ UMass Lowell +5.6 144.7 65% 70–80 ✓
UAlbany @ Kansas City -4.9 133.7 30% 67–65 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Portland State +1.0 156.5 57% 91–65 ✗
Brown @ Canisius -5.5 142.4 27% 83–76 ✓
Cincinnati @ Georgia Tech -6.4 146.7 24% 81–58 ✓
South Carolina State @ IU Indianapolis -4.0 140.7 31% 72–62 ✓
New Hampshire @ Marist +12.3 144.7 87% 49–54 ✓
Furman @ Charleston Southern -5.3 144.3 29% 67–46 ✓
Fairfield @ Yale +13.9 138.4 88% 66–91 ✓
UAB @ Illinois State +3.2 144.4 66% 83–84 ✓
Bowling Green @ Bellarmine +0.7 144.9 42% 68–80 ✓
James Madison @ Jacksonville State -0.3 143.7 52% 71–65 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Illinois +24.2 152.6 91% 40–87 ✓
Delaware State @ Mount St. Mary's +8.2 139.2 79% 66–76 ✓
Omaha @ Akron +4.2 146.2 66% 84–92 ✓
Wofford @ Milwaukee +3.8 141.5 65% 74–76 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Wake Forest +9.0 137.9 80% 57–67 ✓
Le Moyne @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +5.8 150.2 72% 61–82 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Alabama A&M -0.5 132.4 39% 70–77 ✗
Idaho @ Southern Utah +6.3 146.4 77% 67–82 ✓
Massachusetts @ Temple +1.6 145.7 64% 80–87 ✓
Northern Illinois @ DePaul +17.7 136.7 88% 52–98 ✓
UL Monroe @ North Alabama +9.1 146.0 82% 62–74 ✓
Fresno State @ Long Beach State -0.1 138.7 47% 72–69 ✓
Louisiana @ George Washington +13.6 147.2 89% 74–83 ✓
Toledo @ UC San Diego -1.6 148.4 42% 45–80 ✗
Tulsa @ Loyola Chicago +9.5 157.2 81% 53–89 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Queens University -1.0 146.7 45% 74–98 ✗
Lamar @ Alabama State +5.5 147.9 74% 75–77 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.