Hallelujah, here she comes. "Skateaway" - Dire Straits
← All models

Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
45–20 on winners spread MAE 7.9 65 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Western Michigan @ Central Michigan +3.2 145.3 62% 55–65 ✓
South Florida @ UCF +10.2 133.2 86% 49–68 ✓
Southern Miss @ Florida International +8.5 134.6 80% 67–77 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Florida Atlantic +0.1 144.6 47% 73–83 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Charlotte +1.5 144.8 58% 78–59 ✗
Bryant @ Saint Francis -4.0 149.6 32% 89–82 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ St. Francis Brooklyn +4.1 143.3 66% 64–81 ✓
Merrimack @ Mount St. Mary's +6.7 124.1 74% 53–69 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Long Island University +6.6 153.1 77% 75–79 ✓
Wagner @ Central Connecticut -14.3 138.1 13% 54–52 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Winthrop +7.5 150.3 77% 54–64 ✓
Youngstown State @ IU Indianapolis -14.7 128.3 13% 61–55 ✓
South Alabama @ Georgia Southern -2.2 136.1 39% 57–58 ✗
Troy @ Georgia State +0.6 139.5 52% 67–63 ✗
Towson @ Hofstra +2.6 139.8 64% 78–68 ✗
UNC Wilmington @ Elon -1.0 138.5 41% 65–78 ✗
James Madison @ Northeastern +0.4 146.1 51% 76–71 ✗
Charleston @ William & Mary -7.3 151.1 23% 84–61 ✓
Utah Tech @ Sam Houston +7.0 141.6 77% 53–77 ✓
Utah Valley @ Stephen F. Austin -0.2 138.8 50% 59–78 ✗
UCLA @ Arizona +7.2 150.8 74% 66–76 ✓
UTSA @ Rice +11.9 144.8 87% 78–91 ✓
Marshall @ Old Dominion +4.7 143.6 68% 64–79 ✓
Portland State @ Northern Colorado +7.6 151.9 79% 106–99 ✗
Northwestern State @ Houston Christian +0.1 146.3 48% 97–87 ✗
Robert Morris @ UIC +4.3 147.0 67% 75–80 ✓
UL Monroe @ Arkansas State +8.1 142.6 82% 60–59 ✗
St. Thomas @ Kansas City +4.8 144.0 73% 72–81 ✓
Western Illinois @ Oral Roberts +6.5 158.0 77% 90–85 ✗
Omaha @ North Dakota State +14.5 152.1 89% 64–71 ✓
Denver @ North Dakota -4.2 144.7 31% 81–79 ✓
Stetson @ Lipscomb +3.7 147.8 66% 77–71 ✗
LSU New Orleans @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +3.4 147.1 64% 79–70 ✗
SE Louisiana @ McNeese +0.5 151.1 55% 83–78 ✗
North Florida @ Jacksonville State +12.9 143.0 87% 88–76 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Central Arkansas -5.5 158.0 28% 95–93 ✓
Gonzaga @ San Diego -14.6 151.2 15% 92–62 ✓
San José State @ Utah State +16.7 140.6 91% 62–78 ✓
Boise State @ Wyoming +3.3 135.1 67% 65–72 ✓
Oregon State @ Utah +6.2 141.8 75% 59–84 ✓
Washington State @ Stanford -0.8 133.9 48% 66–60 ✓
Nicholls @ Incarnate Word -10.1 145.4 17% 63–60 ✓
Belmont @ Tennessee State -14.7 147.3 13% 88–61 ✓
Montana @ Weber State +6.2 143.0 77% 75–80 ✓
Idaho @ Southern Utah +10.8 157.9 87% 59–75 ✓
Seattle U @ Grand Canyon +3.3 138.1 65% 66–78 ✓
California Baptist @ New Mexico State +11.5 144.2 87% 57–68 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Santa Clara +10.4 151.3 86% 60–79 ✓
Jacksonville @ North Alabama +0.1 126.7 47% 56–50 ✗
Pepperdine @ Pacific +2.0 138.1 63% 76–81 ✓
Oregon @ Colorado -0.3 141.5 50% 66–51 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Long Beach State +6.4 136.8 77% 65–74 ✓
UC Irvine @ UC Santa Barbara +0.0 130.7 47% 53–52 ✗
Cal Poly @ Cal State Fullerton +10.1 135.5 86% 50–61 ✓
UC San Diego @ Cal State Northridge -3.0 134.8 38% 83–77 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Sacramento State +2.1 137.4 60% 62–61 ✗
San Francisco @ BYU +3.7 145.2 68% 73–59 ✗
USC @ Arizona State -6.8 135.6 24% 58–53 ✓
Washington @ California +2.7 135.5 63% 84–63 ✗
Hawai'i @ UC Riverside +1.3 129.1 59% 59–64 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Portland -11.5 136.5 15% 75–54 ✓
Dartmouth @ Yale +6.7 139.6 78% 69–72 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Richmond +4.8 140.5 72% 61–71 ✓
Western Carolina @ VMI +9.8 155.9 85% 69–76 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Akron +6.2 142.4 78% 55–66 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.