Betting Lines
| Spread | NWST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Over |
| Money | HCU +105 NWST -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +10 | 184 | Lost |
| Massey | HCU -1.4 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (+38.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HCU -0.3 (-10.3) | 147.2 (+36.8) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HCU -0.1 (-10.1) | 146.3 (+37.7) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NWST -0.3 (-9.7) | 147.7 (+36.3) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NWST -0.6 (-9.4) | 147.0 (+37.0) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | NWST 71 – 53 HCU |
| Jan 20, 2026 | HCU 82 – 80 NWST |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NWST 61 – 56 HCU |
| Dec 7, 2024 | NWST 64 – 57 HCU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | NWST 86 – 73 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 5-9 |
| Home | 7-6 | 6-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 82.6 |
| Massey | -14.3 (#347) | -12.4 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.75 (#345) | -2.15 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.39 (#344) | -2.37 (#316) |
| RPI | 0.400 (#325) | 0.441 (#284) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 27.9% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 24.1% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 15.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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