Betting Lines
| Spread | NWST -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | HCU +160 NWST -190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +7 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | NWST -4.2 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.7 (-13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NWST -3.6 (-3.4) | 134.3 (-13.3) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NWST -3.2 (-3.8) | 132.2 (-11.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NWST -2.8 (-4.2) | 132.3 (-11.3) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NWST -4.1 (-2.9) | 134.3 (-13.3) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | NWST 71 – 53 HCU |
| Jan 20, 2026 | HCU 82 – 80 NWST |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NWST 61 – 56 HCU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | NWST 86 – 73 HCU |
| Jan 15, 2024 | NWST 69 – 64 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 12-8 |
| Home | 8-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-12 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#340) | -2.0 (#202) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.27 (#336) | -0.99 (#258) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.97 (#325) | -0.65 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.376 (#336) | 0.513 (#147) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 29.1 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 15.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.9% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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