Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | LBSU -220 CSUB +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +9 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | LBSU -6.9 (+2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (+1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -3.8 (+5.2) | 134.5 (+4.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -6.4 (+2.6) | 136.8 (+2.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -5.8 (+3.2) | 137.1 (+1.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -5.9 (+3.1) | 137.9 (+1.1) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | LBSU 88 – 87 CSUB |
| Jan 11, 2026 | LBSU 81 – 75 CSUB |
| Feb 28, 2025 | CSUB 88 – 87 LBSU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | CSUB 80 – 65 LBSU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | LBSU 79 – 66 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 8-19 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 2-12 |
| Home | 11-3 | 5-7 |
| Away | 6-7 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#185) | -4.6 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#157) | -1.28 (#276) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#138) | -1.38 (#263) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#119) | 0.440 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 43.9% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 35.0% |
Game Analysis
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