Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Under |
| Money | NDSU -2400 OMA +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +7 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | NDSU -17.1 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (-13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -14.1 (-7.1) | 149.5 (-14.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -14.5 (-7.5) | 152.1 (-17.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -13.8 (-6.8) | 150.1 (-15.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -12.8 (-5.8) | 150.2 (-15.2) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | NDSU 74 – 50 OMA |
| Feb 7, 2026 | NDSU 92 – 84 OMA |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NDSU 78 – 76 OMA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | OMA 85 – 74 NDSU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | OMA 85 – 80 NDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NDSU | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 5-25 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 4-14 |
| Home | 12-3 | 5-9 |
| Away | 9-6 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 84.4 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#194) | -15.1 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#152) | -2.43 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#164) | -3.26 (#343) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#168) | 0.401 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NDSU | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.6% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.