Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +11 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -7.1 (+3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (-20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -7.3 (+3.7) | 139.9 (-18.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -6.2 (+4.8) | 142.4 (-21.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -6.6 (+4.4) | 143.1 (-22.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -6.4 (+4.6) | 142.8 (-21.8) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | M-OH 76 – 73 AKR |
| Mar 15, 2025 | AKR 76 – 74 M-OH |
| Jan 25, 2025 | AKR 102 – 75 M-OH |
| Mar 14, 2024 | AKR 75 – 63 M-OH |
| Jan 27, 2024 | M-OH 70 – 68 AKR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 8-12 |
| Home | 12-3 | 9-8 |
| Away | 8-4 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.9 | 76.0 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#160) | -3.6 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#133) | -1.00 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#145) | -1.21 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#135) | 0.434 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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