Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.0 Over |
| Money | CARK +205 FGCU -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CARK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +2 | 188 | Lost |
| Massey | FGCU -7.7 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.8 (+25.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -6.3 (+4.3) | 158.2 (+29.8) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -5.5 (+3.5) | 158.0 (+30.0) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -4.9 (+2.9) | 160.1 (+27.9) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -5.5 (+3.5) | 156.2 (+31.8) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | CARK 73 – 63 FGCU |
| Feb 21, 2026 | FGCU 75 – 71 CARK |
| Jan 1, 2026 | CARK 85 – 83 FGCU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | FGCU 77 – 71 CARK |
| Feb 2, 2024 | FGCU 82 – 59 CARK |
Game Analysis
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