Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 122.0 Under |
| Money | IUIN +600 YSU -900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +6 | 116 | Lost |
| Massey | YSU -15.1 (+9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -14.0 (+8.0) | 122.3 (-6.3) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -14.7 (+8.7) | 128.3 (-12.3) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -14.1 (+8.1) | 125.1 (-9.1) | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -16.5 (+10.5) | 123.2 (-7.2) | 12% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | YSU 85 – 76 IUIN |
| Dec 6, 2025 | YSU 78 – 55 IUIN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | IUIN 84 – 79 YSU |
| Jan 1, 2025 | YSU 77 – 61 IUIN |
| Jan 26, 2024 | YSU 78 – 50 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-26 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 1-16 | 12-9 |
| Home | 2-11 | 13-7 |
| Away | 1-13 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 51.3 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -22.2 (#358) | -3.9 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.96 (#359) | -1.20 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.37 (#359) | -1.42 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.312 (#359) | 0.442 (#281) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.9% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 27.5% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.57 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.9% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 26.8% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.4% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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