Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | LIP -230 STET +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STET +6 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | LIP -4.7 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (-1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -3.0 (-9.0) | 146.8 (+1.2) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -3.7 (-9.7) | 147.8 (+0.2) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -4.1 (-10.1) | 148.2 (-0.2) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -4.2 (-10.2) | 147.2 (+0.8) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | LIP 79 – 74 STET |
| Jan 9, 2026 | STET 91 – 83 LIP |
| Feb 14, 2025 | LIP 93 – 60 STET |
| Jan 27, 2024 | STET 80 – 59 LIP |
| Mar 1, 2023 | LIP 83 – 70 STET |
Game Analysis
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