But spirit is something that no one destroys. "The Low Spark of High Heeled Boys" - Traffic
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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36–14 on winners spread MAE 7.8 50 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Purdue @ Minnesota -6.6 147.0 23% 88–73 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Kentucky +14.4 144.0 88% 70–77 ✓
Butler @ Xavier +12.1 132.3 87% 66–68 ✓
American University @ Lafayette +3.1 134.7 64% 62–71 ✓
Army @ Loyola Maryland +3.0 138.3 64% 57–61 ✓
Bucknell @ Colgate +13.3 145.8 88% 69–83 ✓
Temple @ East Carolina -0.2 137.9 48% 71–63 ✓
Navy @ Lehigh -6.2 134.8 24% 62–63 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ Hampton -3.4 137.0 35% 85–78 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ High Point -1.1 130.7 43% 65–57 ✓
Campbell @ Presbyterian -1.9 130.1 41% 58–64 ✗
Notre Dame @ Miami +4.5 141.6 71% 68–64 ✗
Pittsburgh @ Wake Forest +13.1 139.6 88% 75–91 ✓
Florida State @ Clemson +4.1 143.2 67% 69–75 ✓
NJIT @ Vermont +16.8 138.3 90% 67–90 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Maine -8.7 131.5 18% 62–50 ✓
UMBC @ UAlbany -0.6 133.6 52% 59–53 ✓
Hartford @ New Hampshire +3.9 138.5 66% 64–70 ✓
Binghamton @ Stony Brook +6.5 143.1 75% 77–61 ✗
Drake @ Indiana State -3.0 144.5 37% 85–67 ✓
La Salle @ George Washington +1.5 137.0 59% 87–89 ✓
Saint Louis @ George Mason +0.5 137.8 51% 92–90 ✗
Rhode Island @ Fordham -1.7 129.4 41% 55–61 ✗
East Tennessee State @ Western Carolina -3.5 147.3 36% 84–87 ✗
VMI @ UNC Greensboro +1.3 141.2 59% 76–65 ✗
The Citadel @ Furman +14.6 149.4 89% 83–102 ✓
Arkansas @ Georgia -9.1 152.3 18% 99–73 ✓
Coppin State @ Delaware State -11.5 137.5 14% 59–57 ✓
Tulane @ Houston +16.0 139.5 90% 62–73 ✓
Lamar @ UT Rio Grande Valley +7.1 146.6 77% 79–93 ✓
Bradley @ Northern Iowa +1.6 140.8 60% 65–78 ✓
Illinois State @ Loyola Chicago +13.1 149.1 88% 64–78 ✓
Chattanooga @ Samford -7.0 143.5 25% 72–80 ✗
Wisconsin @ Illinois +4.3 141.7 67% 67–80 ✓
Syracuse @ NC State +0.3 157.9 54% 89–82 ✗
Georgia Tech @ Virginia Tech +11.4 139.1 86% 66–81 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Kansas State +1.5 129.9 57% 68–71 ✓
Missouri State @ Southern Illinois -3.1 131.1 39% 69–54 ✓
Dayton @ VCU +3.0 122.6 62% 82–52 ✗
Villanova @ Marquette -1.5 134.0 43% 73–83 ✗
Liberty @ Bellarmine -0.4 134.9 48% 66–53 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Ohio +14.4 143.7 89% 68–81 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Morehead State +9.4 140.3 83% 68–75 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Eastern Kentucky +2.2 149.1 58% 81–82 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ UT Martin -0.1 154.2 51% 63–84 ✗
Murray State @ Austin Peay -11.9 136.9 15% 65–53 ✓
St. John's @ Georgetown -3.8 155.8 33% 90–77 ✓
App State @ Texas State +1.4 130.5 57% 66–68 ✓
Drexel @ Delaware +3.5 141.6 69% 76–68 ✗
Louisiana @ Little Rock -3.9 143.5 34% 75–51 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.