Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.0 Under |
| Money | FOR +180 URI -220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FOR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FOR +6 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | URI -2.6 (+8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -3.9 (+9.9) | 129.4 (-13.4) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -1.7 (+7.7) | 129.4 (-13.4) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | URI -2.2 (+8.2) | 130.2 (-14.2) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -1.5 (+7.5) | 130.8 (-14.8) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | FOR 61 – 49 URI |
| Feb 14, 2026 | FOR 70 – 66 URI |
| Mar 12, 2025 | FOR 88 – 71 URI |
| Mar 8, 2025 | URI 86 – 67 FOR |
| Feb 6, 2025 | FOR 80 – 79 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FOR | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-12 |
| Home | 10-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.8 | 65.3 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#185) | 4.9 (#102) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#199) | 0.25 (#159) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#195) | 0.73 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#200) | 0.529 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FOR | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 44.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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