Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -11.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
| Money | MORE -700 TNTC +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +7 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -10.7 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (+6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -11.6 (-4.6) | 139.0 (+4.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -9.4 (-2.4) | 140.3 (+2.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -9.4 (-2.4) | 138.3 (+4.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -9.7 (-2.7) | 137.2 (+5.8) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | MORE 73 – 66 TNTC |
| Jan 17, 2026 | MORE 76 – 70 TNTC |
| Jan 31, 2025 | TNTC 72 – 64 MORE |
| Jan 4, 2025 | TNTC 74 – 55 MORE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | MORE 67 – 60 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 7-10 |
| Home | 12-2 | 7-7 |
| Away | 8-8 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.4 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#128) | -5.1 (#258) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#74) | -2.06 (#324) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#81) | -2.29 (#312) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#76) | 0.410 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 14.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.6% | 17.0% |
Game Analysis
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