Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | HPU +110 GWEB -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GWEB +8 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | GWEB -2.3 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.3 (-7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -2.6 (-5.4) | 129.9 (-7.9) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -1.1 (-6.9) | 130.7 (-8.7) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -1.3 (-6.7) | 131.8 (-9.8) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -0.7 (-7.3) | 131.6 (-9.6) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | HPU 81 – 59 GWEB |
| Feb 14, 2026 | HPU 112 – 87 GWEB |
| Jan 8, 2026 | HPU 104 – 49 GWEB |
| Mar 7, 2025 | HPU 85 – 64 GWEB |
| Feb 22, 2025 | HPU 90 – 67 GWEB |
Game Analysis
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