Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 121.5 Over |
| Money | VCU -150 DAY +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAY +30 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | VCU -4.3 (-34.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 113.9 (+20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -3.3 (-33.3) | 123.0 (+11.0) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -3.0 (-33.0) | 122.6 (+11.4) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -3.4 (-33.4) | 124.8 (+9.2) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -2.3 (-32.3) | 124.6 (+9.4) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2026 | VCU 70 – 62 DAY |
| Mar 7, 2026 | VCU 68 – 62 DAY |
| Feb 7, 2026 | VCU 99 – 73 DAY |
| Mar 8, 2025 | DAY 79 – 76 VCU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | VCU 73 – 68 DAY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 14-4 |
| Home | 12-4 | 13-4 |
| Away | 9-3 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.4 | 61.2 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#61) | 7.7 (#74) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#50) | 1.12 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.04 (#61) | 1.43 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.605 (#31) | 0.548 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.4% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.2% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 77.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 15.5% |
Game Analysis
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