Betting Lines
| Spread | RGV -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
| Money | RGV -270 LAM +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RGV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RGV +14 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | RGV -8.4 (+5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (+21.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RGV -7.2 (+6.8) | 145.9 (+26.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RGV -7.1 (+6.9) | 146.6 (+25.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RGV -7.8 (+6.2) | 149.0 (+23.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RGV -6.9 (+7.1) | 146.9 (+25.1) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | RGV 70 – 65 LAM |
| Dec 17, 2025 | RGV 83 – 72 LAM |
| Feb 9, 2025 | LAM 70 – 68 RGV |
| Dec 7, 2024 | LAM 84 – 52 RGV |
| Mar 3, 2022 | RGV 67 – 63 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RGV | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 2-27 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 0-18 |
| Home | 4-9 | 2-11 |
| Away | 3-12 | 0-18 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L27 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 60.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#282) | -11.7 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#302) | -4.51 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#288) | -5.69 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#258) | 0.337 (#358) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RGV | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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