Betting Lines
| Spread | RGV -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | RGV -285 LAM +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RGV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RGV +5 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | RGV -6.9 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (-5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RGV -4.4 (+0.6) | 137.6 (-2.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RGV -6.9 (-1.9) | 138.9 (-3.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RGV -6.2 (-1.2) | 139.3 (-4.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RGV -6.0 (-1.0) | 138.6 (-3.6) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2025 | RGV 83 – 72 LAM |
| Feb 9, 2025 | LAM 70 – 68 RGV |
| Dec 7, 2024 | LAM 84 – 52 RGV |
| Mar 3, 2022 | RGV 67 – 63 LAM |
| Feb 3, 2022 | RGV 93 – 79 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RGV | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 14-8 | 7-15 |
| Home | 10-5 | 7-8 |
| Away | 8-8 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#139) | -2.1 (#202) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#191) | -0.98 (#257) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#163) | -1.01 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#183) | 0.449 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RGV | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 30.8% |
Game Analysis
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