Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCG -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | UNCG -140 VMI +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VMI +11 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCG -1.3 (-12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (+1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCG -2.7 (-13.7) | 141.6 (-0.6) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCG -1.3 (-12.3) | 141.2 (-0.2) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNCG -0.7 (-11.7) | 142.0 (-1.0) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCG -1.0 (-12.0) | 141.0 (-0.0) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UNCG 84 – 70 VMI |
| Feb 12, 2026 | UNCG 92 – 71 VMI |
| Jan 21, 2026 | UNCG 85 – 78 VMI |
| Mar 8, 2025 | VMI 64 – 57 UNCG |
| Feb 13, 2025 | UNCG 80 – 54 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCG | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 7-6 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.6 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.1 | 77.4 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#200) | 0.5 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#152) | 0.12 (#170) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#151) | 0.27 (#150) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#152) | 0.517 (#147) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCG | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 13.4% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.