Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
| Money | WAKE -900 PITT +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +16 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | WAKE -15.6 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (+30.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -10.4 (+5.6) | 141.0 (+25.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -13.1 (+2.9) | 139.6 (+26.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -14.0 (+2.0) | 140.3 (+25.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -14.1 (+1.9) | 137.9 (+28.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2026 | PITT 80 – 76 WAKE |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WAKE 76 – 74 PITT |
| Mar 14, 2024 | PITT 81 – 69 WAKE |
| Feb 21, 2024 | WAKE 91 – 58 PITT |
| Feb 1, 2024 | PITT 77 – 72 WAKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 6-14 |
| Home | 18-2 | 9-11 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.5 | 61.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 11.0 (#37) | -1.4 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#54) | -0.22 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.29 (#52) | -0.31 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#69) | 0.469 (#215) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 30.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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