Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -14.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | UK -1600 VAN +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +7 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | UK -17.2 (-10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (+8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -14.2 (-7.2) | 143.8 (+3.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -14.4 (-7.4) | 144.0 (+3.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UK -13.5 (-6.5) | 144.0 (+3.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -14.2 (-7.2) | 145.5 (+1.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UK 91 – 77 VAN |
| Jan 28, 2026 | VAN 80 – 55 UK |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UK 82 – 61 VAN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | VAN 74 – 69 UK |
| Mar 7, 2024 | UK 93 – 77 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 19-17 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 7-11 |
| Home | 18-0 | 11-8 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.6 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 20.3 (#4) | 6.4 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.08 (#13) | 1.00 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.16 (#12) | 1.01 (#112) |
| RPI | 0.626 (#18) | 0.542 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.7% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 41.7 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 39.1% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 77.9% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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