Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -15.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | OHIO -1700 EMU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +13 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -14.9 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (+6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -16.2 (-3.2) | 145.8 (+3.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -14.4 (-1.4) | 143.7 (+5.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -14.2 (-1.2) | 142.7 (+6.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -14.3 (-1.3) | 145.1 (+3.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | OHIO 68 – 67 EMU |
| Mar 5, 2025 | EMU 83 – 79 OHIO |
| Jan 21, 2025 | EMU 94 – 87 OHIO |
| Jan 20, 2024 | OHIO 85 – 67 EMU |
| Feb 1, 2023 | EMU 90 – 79 OHIO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 5-15 |
| Home | 15-2 | 8-7 |
| Away | 8-6 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 76.6 |
| Massey | 6.2 (#87) | -5.5 (#266) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.16 (#35) | -1.03 (#257) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.41 (#47) | -1.29 (#260) |
| RPI | 0.586 (#47) | 0.443 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 21.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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