This dance ain't for everybody. Only the sexy people. "Push It" - Salt-n-Pepa
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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25–5 on winners spread MAE 7.8 30 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Kansas @ Iowa State -0.9 142.9 48% 70–61 ✓
Michigan State @ Maryland -3.9 139.9 30% 65–63 ✓
Texas A&M @ Tennessee +10.3 136.6 86% 80–90 ✓
Canisius @ Siena +3.0 134.7 64% 65–73 ✓
Richmond @ Duquesne -6.3 139.2 24% 74–57 ✓
Davidson @ St. Bonaventure +0.6 141.7 53% 81–76 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Western Michigan -0.3 140.0 46% 75–56 ✓
Ball State @ Ohio +12.6 147.2 88% 63–87 ✓
Toledo @ Eastern Michigan -8.6 150.4 19% 86–66 ✓
Bowling Green @ Central Michigan -4.8 157.9 32% 74–78 ✗
Kent State @ Miami (OH) +0.5 141.1 52% 78–65 ✗
South Carolina @ Mississippi State +5.9 139.5 73% 64–78 ✓
Rutgers @ Northwestern +5.3 134.6 68% 78–79 ✓
North Carolina @ Louisville -2.7 144.8 43% 90–83 ✓
Seton Hall @ Georgetown -7.7 151.5 23% 70–63 ✓
Alabama @ Auburn +8.3 158.8 79% 81–100 ✓
Texas @ Texas Tech +5.8 129.3 71% 64–77 ✓
Providence @ St. John's -0.5 146.4 46% 86–82 ✓
Ole Miss @ LSU +14.9 129.5 87% 76–72 ✗
Tulsa @ Wichita State +8.3 140.1 80% 48–58 ✓
Air Force @ Utah State +12.1 130.1 87% 46–73 ✓
Nebraska @ Michigan +12.5 148.9 88% 79–85 ✓
California @ Stanford +5.8 135.9 74% 50–57 ✓
UC Davis @ UC Riverside +5.4 130.1 76% 65–60 ✗
Nevada @ UNLV +5.5 146.3 72% 58–69 ✓
Fresno State @ San José State -11.4 131.0 15% 73–43 ✓
Florida @ Missouri -5.5 135.8 30% 66–65 ✓
Chicago State @ Abilene Christian +13.8 145.5 89% 73–77 ✓
Longwood @ UNC Asheville -1.7 143.1 41% 56–48 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Radford +9.6 133.4 83% 52–64 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.