Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
| Money | ISU +120 KU -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +9 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | KU -2.6 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (-11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -3.1 (-5.9) | 139.2 (-8.2) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -0.9 (-8.1) | 142.9 (-11.9) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -1.3 (-7.7) | 142.9 (-11.9) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -0.8 (-8.2) | 142.8 (-11.8) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | ISU 74 – 56 KU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | KU 84 – 63 ISU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | KU 69 – 52 ISU |
| Jan 16, 2025 | ISU 74 – 57 KU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | ISU 79 – 75 KU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 34-6 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 14-4 |
| Home | 14-5 | 19-1 |
| Away | 4-6 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 9-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W11 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.5 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#27) | 17.6 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.76 (#21) | 3.46 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.52 (#19) | 4.39 (#6) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#58) | 0.671 (#2) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 48.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.6% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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