Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +8 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | SIE -4.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (+3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -3.1 (+4.9) | 135.3 (+2.7) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -3.0 (+5.0) | 134.7 (+3.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -3.1 (+4.9) | 135.3 (+2.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -3.2 (+4.8) | 137.2 (+0.8) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | SIE 78 – 63 CAN |
| Dec 7, 2025 | SIE 74 – 52 CAN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | CAN 93 – 88 SIE |
| Dec 8, 2024 | SIE 66 – 53 CAN |
| Feb 18, 2024 | CAN 73 – 64 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-14 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 7-13 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#274) | -6.9 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#193) | -1.10 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#219) | -1.81 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#169) | 0.448 (#265) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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