Betting Lines
| Spread | UNLV -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNLV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNLV +11 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | UNLV -6.6 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (-20.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNLV -4.3 (+6.7) | 146.4 (-19.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNLV -5.5 (+5.5) | 146.3 (-19.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNLV -5.6 (+5.4) | 146.2 (-19.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNLV -5.9 (+5.1) | 147.1 (-20.1) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | UNLV 85 – 83 NEV |
| Jan 31, 2026 | NEV 89 – 76 UNLV |
| Mar 1, 2025 | UNLV 68 – 55 NEV |
| Feb 2, 2025 | NEV 71 – 65 UNLV |
| Mar 10, 2024 | NEV 75 – 65 UNLV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNLV | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-4 | 7-7 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#111) | 0.5 (#154) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#118) | 0.82 (#116) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#101) | 0.99 (#112) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#113) | 0.552 (#87) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNLV | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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