Betting Lines
| Spread | MSST -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSST +14 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | MSST -7.9 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.8 (+5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSST -6.6 (+7.4) | 137.6 (+4.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSST -5.9 (+8.1) | 139.5 (+2.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSST -5.9 (+8.1) | 140.1 (+1.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSST -6.4 (+7.6) | 138.0 (+4.0) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SC 97 – 89 MSST |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MSST 65 – 60 SC |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MSST 85 – 50 SC |
| Mar 9, 2024 | SC 93 – 89 MSST |
| Jan 6, 2024 | SC 68 – 62 MSST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSST | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 1-10 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#48) | 5.5 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.52 (#70) | 1.43 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.82 (#72) | 1.40 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#72) | 0.574 (#63) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSST | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.