Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
| Money | RAD -420 CHSO +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +12 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | RAD -12.2 (-0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (-19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -9.5 (+2.5) | 129.6 (-13.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -9.6 (+2.4) | 133.4 (-17.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -10.1 (+1.9) | 132.7 (-16.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -9.2 (+2.8) | 132.5 (-16.5) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | RAD 90 – 80 CHSO |
| Jan 30, 2026 | RAD 84 – 75 CHSO |
| Mar 1, 2025 | RAD 76 – 60 CHSO |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CHSO 58 – 54 RAD |
| Feb 29, 2024 | CHSO 58 – 57 RAD |
Game Analysis
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