Betting Lines
| Spread | WMU -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIU +19 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | WMU -0.2 (-19.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.4 (-5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIU -0.2 (-18.8) | 137.0 (-6.0) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIU -0.3 (-18.7) | 140.0 (-9.0) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NIU -0.4 (-18.6) | 140.5 (-9.5) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WMU -0.2 (-19.2) | 139.2 (-8.2) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | NIU 85 – 65 WMU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | WMU 74 – 70 NIU |
| Jan 22, 2025 | WMU 72 – 70 NIU |
| Jan 10, 2024 | WMU 95 – 90 NIU |
| Feb 11, 2023 | NIU 81 – 53 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 6-14 |
| Home | 4-10 | 3-8 |
| Away | 2-13 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 64.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -12.5 (#338) | -9.4 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.21 (#332) | -1.40 (#285) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.65 (#329) | -1.80 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.419 (#308) | 0.440 (#284) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.