Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -11.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +10 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -12.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (+34.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -11.6 (-1.6) | 138.7 (+31.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -10.3 (-0.3) | 136.6 (+33.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -11.0 (-1.0) | 137.6 (+32.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -9.9 (+0.1) | 138.0 (+32.0) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | TENN 87 – 82 TA&M |
| Feb 22, 2025 | TENN 77 – 69 TA&M |
| Feb 25, 2024 | TENN 86 – 51 TA&M |
| Feb 11, 2024 | TA&M 85 – 69 TENN |
| Feb 22, 2023 | TA&M 68 – 63 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 27-13 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 9-9 |
| Home | 16-0 | 16-4 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.9 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 17.2 (#13) | 8.0 (#71) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.63 (#24) | 1.80 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.39 (#21) | 2.14 (#56) |
| RPI | 0.617 (#23) | 0.555 (#85) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.2% | 24.8% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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