Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CMU +4 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | BGSU -6.3 (+10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.6 (-10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -6.9 (+10.9) | 152.9 (-0.9) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -4.8 (+8.8) | 157.9 (-5.9) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -5.2 (+9.2) | 157.0 (-5.0) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -5.7 (+9.7) | 157.5 (-5.5) | 34% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | CMU 62 – 59 BGSU |
| Feb 2, 2025 | CMU 90 – 71 BGSU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | BGSU 66 – 56 CMU |
| Feb 21, 2024 | CMU 62 – 60 BGSU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | CMU 77 – 76 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CMU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 6-14 |
| Home | 2-9 | 9-7 |
| Away | 5-11 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 77.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 82.2 |
| Massey | -13.3 (#341) | -3.7 (#241) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#302) | -0.47 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.42 (#319) | -0.75 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#279) | 0.475 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CMU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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