Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +10 | 106 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -9.3 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (-30.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -9.3 (+0.7) | 138.4 (-32.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -8.3 (+1.7) | 140.1 (-34.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -8.0 (+2.0) | 140.1 (-34.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -7.6 (+2.4) | 139.4 (-33.4) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 24, 2026 | TLSA 83 – 79 WICH |
| Mar 14, 2026 | WICH 81 – 68 TLSA |
| Feb 15, 2026 | WICH 81 – 77 TLSA |
| Feb 1, 2026 | TLSA 93 – 83 WICH |
| Mar 9, 2025 | TLSA 73 – 63 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-13 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 6-9 | 4-14 |
| Home | 11-6 | 8-8 |
| Away | 3-5 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#82) | 0.7 (#148) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#115) | -0.61 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#99) | -0.37 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#101) | 0.451 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 23.0% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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