Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
| Money | COLG -2000 BUCK +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +14 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -16.9 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (+2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -16.7 (-2.7) | 147.1 (+4.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -13.3 (+0.7) | 145.8 (+6.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -14.1 (-0.1) | 147.2 (+4.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -13.9 (+0.1) | 145.1 (+6.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | COLG 78 – 59 BUCK |
| Jan 17, 2026 | COLG 95 – 76 BUCK |
| Jan 21, 2025 | COLG 87 – 80 BUCK |
| Jan 5, 2025 | BUCK 66 – 60 COLG |
| Mar 10, 2024 | COLG 68 – 65 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 5-13 |
| Home | 15-1 | 7-6 |
| Away | 8-10 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 79.4 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#135) | -12.1 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#235) | -2.12 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#208) | -2.76 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#204) | 0.389 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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