Betting Lines
| Spread | ETSU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
| Money | WCU +205 ETSU -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +3 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | ETSU -3.8 (+6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (+21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETSU -4.0 (+7.0) | 147.7 (+23.3) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETSU -3.5 (+6.5) | 147.3 (+23.7) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ETSU -3.5 (+6.5) | 148.3 (+22.7) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETSU -3.0 (+6.0) | 148.6 (+22.4) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | ETSU 69 – 67 WCU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | WCU 90 – 88 ETSU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | WCU 72 – 68 ETSU |
| Feb 12, 2025 | WCU 76 – 67 ETSU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | ETSU 85 – 58 WCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 2-14 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -8.0 (#299) | -1.0 (#191) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#247) | 0.29 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#246) | 0.26 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#251) | 0.523 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 12.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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