Betting Lines
| Spread | NCSU -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | NCSU -115 SYR -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +7 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | SYR -0.3 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.4 (+8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCSU -0.1 (-7.1) | 155.0 (+16.0) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCSU -0.3 (-7.3) | 157.9 (+13.1) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -0.3 (-6.7) | 157.2 (+13.8) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCSU -0.0 (-7.0) | 158.2 (+12.8) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | NCSU 88 – 68 SYR |
| Feb 27, 2025 | SYR 74 – 60 NCSU |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NCSU 83 – 65 SYR |
| Feb 21, 2024 | SYR 87 – 83 NCSU |
| Jan 28, 2024 | SYR 77 – 65 NCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCSU | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 9-11 |
| Home | 7-10 | 11-5 |
| Away | 3-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 75.1 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#122) | 6.9 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#169) | 0.68 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#135) | 0.80 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#174) | 0.530 (#124) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCSU | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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