Betting Lines
| Spread | L-MD -4.0 Push |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | L-MD -190 ARMY +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | L-MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | L-MD +4 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | L-MD -4.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (-21.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | L-MD -1.9 (+2.1) | 137.1 (-19.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | L-MD -3.0 (+1.0) | 138.3 (-20.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | L-MD -3.0 (+1.0) | 138.5 (-20.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | L-MD -3.0 (+1.0) | 138.3 (-20.3) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | ARMY 87 – 77 L-MD |
| Jan 7, 2026 | L-MD 84 – 76 ARMY |
| Feb 13, 2025 | ARMY 64 – 60 L-MD |
| Jan 8, 2025 | ARMY 74 – 72 L-MD |
| Mar 2, 2024 | L-MD 69 – 68 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | L-MD | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-3 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-12 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#260) | -6.4 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#245) | -0.76 (#241) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#250) | -1.39 (#267) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#239) | 0.485 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | L-MD | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 13.6% |
Game Analysis
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