Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | KSU -145 OKST +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +3 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | KSU -1.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.0 (+10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KSU -0.3 (+2.7) | 131.5 (+7.5) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -1.5 (+1.5) | 129.9 (+9.1) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -1.2 (+1.8) | 131.1 (+7.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KSU -2.1 (+0.9) | 130.3 (+8.7) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | OKST 84 – 83 KSU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | KSU 85 – 57 OKST |
| Jan 8, 2025 | OKST 79 – 66 KSU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | OKST 75 – 72 KSU |
| Jan 21, 2024 | KSU 70 – 66 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-7 | 10-6 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#72) | 9.4 (#53) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#85) | 1.44 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.66 (#80) | 1.92 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#141) | 0.574 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 24.2% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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