Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -19.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +23 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -20.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (+24.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -18.0 (+5.0) | 138.6 (+18.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -16.8 (+6.2) | 138.3 (+18.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -17.9 (+5.1) | 138.7 (+18.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -18.9 (+4.1) | 137.6 (+19.4) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | UVM 63 – 54 NJIT |
| Feb 22, 2026 | UVM 70 – 64 NJIT |
| Jan 31, 2026 | NJIT 79 – 77 UVM |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UVM 71 – 61 NJIT |
| Jan 24, 2025 | UVM 68 – 64 NJIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-6 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 6-12 |
| Home | 16-0 | 6-8 |
| Away | 10-4 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.6 | 62.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.1 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 6.9 (#81) | -9.8 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#66) | -1.77 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.94 (#66) | -2.36 (#315) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#67) | 0.405 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 21.1% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 81.1% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.5% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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