Betting Lines
| Spread | UPST -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | HAMP +140 UPST -160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UPST +7 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | UPST -2.4 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.5 (+27.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UPST -2.8 (-4.2) | 139.5 (+23.5) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UPST -3.4 (-3.6) | 137.0 (+26.0) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UPST -2.6 (-4.4) | 139.0 (+24.0) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UPST -2.1 (-4.9) | 138.8 (+24.2) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2021 | HAMP 84 – 74 UPST |
| Jan 14, 2021 | HAMP 69 – 68 UPST |
Game Analysis
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