Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
| Money | CLEM -135 FSU +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +6 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -4.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (+3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -4.6 (+1.4) | 138.8 (+5.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -4.1 (+1.9) | 143.2 (+0.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -3.9 (+2.1) | 143.9 (+0.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -4.5 (+1.5) | 143.3 (+0.7) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | FSU 70 – 65 CLEM |
| Feb 15, 2025 | CLEM 72 – 46 FSU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CLEM 77 – 57 FSU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | CLEM 74 – 63 FSU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | CLEM 78 – 67 FSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 8.2 (#67) | 7.0 (#77) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#116) | 1.53 (#68) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#101) | 1.38 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#115) | 0.568 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.7% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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