Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | FUR -2400 CIT +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +19 | 185 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -16.8 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.6 (+31.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -17.1 (+1.9) | 156.8 (+28.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -14.6 (+4.4) | 149.4 (+35.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -15.1 (+3.9) | 151.8 (+33.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -16.1 (+2.9) | 152.5 (+32.5) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | FUR 72 – 51 CIT |
| Jan 22, 2026 | CIT 77 – 75 FUR |
| Feb 27, 2025 | FUR 85 – 42 CIT |
| Jan 9, 2025 | FUR 67 – 63 CIT |
| Feb 1, 2024 | FUR 82 – 79 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-3 | 7-8 |
| Away | 8-8 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 78.7 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#65) | -5.0 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.28 (#82) | -0.77 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.51 (#87) | -1.14 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#57) | 0.462 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.