Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | UNI -190 BRAD +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +13 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | UNI -2.1 (+10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (+2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -1.9 (+11.1) | 137.9 (+5.1) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -1.6 (+11.4) | 140.8 (+2.2) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -1.4 (+11.6) | 141.4 (+1.6) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -2.0 (+11.0) | 139.1 (+3.9) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UNI 73 – 69 BRAD |
| Feb 7, 2026 | UNI 61 – 49 BRAD |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BRAD 75 – 69 UNI |
| Mar 2, 2025 | BRAD 73 – 56 UNI |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UNI 83 – 69 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-4 | 12-2 |
| Away | 9-5 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 65.2 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#110) | 5.5 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#167) | -0.06 (#184) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#156) | 0.14 (#167) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#134) | 0.498 (#175) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 21.5% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 81.7% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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